trac
Senior Member
Cash: $ 71.80
Posts: 352
Joined: 26 Mar 2006
Location: Wabash Trail, Midwest
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Staying with the S for tomorrow.
evidence that upside uncertainty for large cap names over the near term has sparked a rotation into smaller, growth-oriented stocks.
http://news.moneycentral.msn.com/briefing/StockTicker.asp
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Mon May 21, 2007 3:51 pm |
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trac
Senior Member
Cash: $ 71.80
Posts: 352
Joined: 26 Mar 2006
Location: Wabash Trail, Midwest
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The S fund is up well over 2% from its low in the past 5 trading days.
Considering a move to the G fund for tomorrow.
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Tue May 22, 2007 3:10 pm |
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greg
Senior Member
Cash: $ 127.49
Posts: 609
Joined: 23 Mar 2005
Location: One Monkey Don't Stop No Show
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Looks like Milk_Dud has been banned again over on that renegade board. I'll never understand why Tom has tolerated such a prick. 
---
If you can't handle a man that tears up at sad movies, you should probably look elsewhere. Don't be fooled though, I can be quite "manly" also. - mlkman
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Thu May 24, 2007 1:17 am |
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trac
Senior Member
Cash: $ 71.80
Posts: 352
Joined: 26 Mar 2006
Location: Wabash Trail, Midwest
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The I looks good today. It was up yesterday about .2% and with todays numbers it should but up another .5%, or .7% total.
Planning to lock in profits and go G for tomorrow.
Greg do you IFT very often, or buy and hold with your current allocation?
GL
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Tue May 29, 2007 2:41 pm |
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Wheels
Preferred Member
Cash: $ 21.52
Posts: 106
Joined: 17 Mar 2005
Location: Nashua NH
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quote:
Originally posted by greg
Looks like Milk_Dud has been banned again over on that renegade board. I'll never understand why Tom has tolerated such a prick.
Man you are one sad dude. And your complete lack of understanding of the workings of the I fund amazes me considering how long you have been trying to understand it. Perhaps whatever it is that is blocking your understanding of the I fund is the same thing that is blocking you from understanding that you are the prick that is being tolerated.
Don't bother responding. I won't ever see it. This is a one time pop in just for you.
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Mon Jun 18, 2007 2:30 pm |
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coaster
Senior Member
Cash: $ 895.55
Posts: 4414
Joined: 11 Oct 2005
Location: Wisconsin
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All right, just cool it with that kind of talk.
quote:
Respect your fellow posters.
http://www.money-talk.org/thread1556.html
This is an official mod warning.
Bye Bye Bums
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Mon Jun 18, 2007 11:04 pm |
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SkyPilot
Senior Member
Cash: $ 100.11
Posts: 492
Joined: 13 Mar 2005
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quote:
Originally posted by greg
Looks like Milk_Dud has been banned again over on that renegade board. I'll never understand why Tom has tolerated such a prick.
Who's banned  
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Thu Jun 28, 2007 3:35 pm |
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trac
Senior Member
Cash: $ 71.80
Posts: 352
Joined: 26 Mar 2006
Location: Wabash Trail, Midwest
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Bernanke speaks tomorrow. This is usually good for the USM.
Staying with C & S.
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Mon Jul 09, 2007 3:46 pm |
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Fastlane
Contributing Member
Cash: $ 6.40
Posts: 32
Joined: 16 Jan 2006
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Expect the market to go down the rest of July.
Going 100 F
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Mon Jul 16, 2007 1:31 am |
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Case-Face
Full Member
Cash: $ 0.35
Posts: 75
Joined: 21 May 2007
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| writing |
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I can't see what Sarah is writing 
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Fri Jul 20, 2007 2:06 pm |
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mlky_man
Contributing Member
Cash: $ 6.65
Posts: 33
Joined: 03 Aug 2007
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Alrighty then. Let's see if we can get this place back to some level of respectability. That other site can kiss 12%'s behind all they want.
My system is still telling me to be short so that's exactly what I'm doing.
Good luck!
Oh yeah, LET'S CELEBRATE MY RETURN!!!!
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Fri Aug 03, 2007 4:03 pm |
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mlky_man
Contributing Member
Cash: $ 6.65
Posts: 33
Joined: 03 Aug 2007
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| Tracking Returns |
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I'm going to start tracking people's returns from 08/03/07 onward and will post them every weekend so people can see how they and others are doing over-all. If you would like to be tracked, post your moves in the TSP allocation thread by the TSP deadline which is 12pm EST.
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Tue Aug 07, 2007 4:39 pm |
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mlky_man
Contributing Member
Cash: $ 6.65
Posts: 33
Joined: 03 Aug 2007
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LOL, it's funny seeing greggy kiss Tom's a**................. 
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Tue Aug 07, 2007 4:47 pm |
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mlky_man
Contributing Member
Cash: $ 6.65
Posts: 33
Joined: 03 Aug 2007
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| Uh Oh... "It's Coming in 2008" |
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Uh Oh... "It's Coming in 2008"
By Dr. Steve Sjuggerud
August 10, 2007
Talk about a bold call...
When interest rates were 15% back in 1980, Steve Leuthold wrote an extraordinary book predicting that interest rates in America would fall to 5%.
Nobody believed him... everyone thought inflation would run away from us and that we were doomed. In his book, The Myths of Inflation, Leuthold also predicted inflation would fall to 3%.
He was right on both counts. These bold predictions were extremely optimistic. So when Steve Leuthold makes a bold prediction – whether it's optimistic or pessimistic – I listen.
In its latest missive, The Leuthold Group sizes up recessions since World War II. The evidence presented, based on one statistic, is decidedly negative... This indicator has only been wrong once (in '67). And the indicator is signaling that recession is coming in 2008...
The indicator is relatively simple... when long-term interest rates dip below short-term interest rates, it's a bad sign. The chart here tells the story... The blue line is the ratio of long rates to short rates. When it goes below zero, recession sets in roughly less than a year's time:
AFBIX Bear High Yield
The indicator has just flashed again. If it's right, recession should be around the corner. With the problems in the real estate market, compounded by the subprime lending problems, it shouldn't be a surprise if we do see a recession.
Why would long-term rates ever dip below short-term rates anyway? Under normal circumstances, you'd want to be paid more for lending money for a long time than for a short time. Here's why it can happen...
The Federal Reserve controls short-term rates. But long-term interest rates are left up to the free market. What the free market is trying to tell the Fed is "Lower rates now!" When the Fed doesn't listen, short rates go higher than long rates, stifling the economy and pushing us into recession.
Leuthold also looked at the '40s and '50s and found that, even though the Fed kept interest rates artificially low, whenever the ratio of long rates to short rates got extremely low, recessions hit. In all instances, stocks turned down before the recession set in.
Leuthold sums the study up by saying if stocks stay weak, and we combine that with the inverted yield curve, the likelihood of recession in 2008 is "quite high."
We hate to be bearers of bad news... but it's our job to share the facts with you, as they relate to your investments.
"In order for ‘evil’ to prevail, all that need happen is for ‘good’ people to do nothing."
wht00ss
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Fri Aug 10, 2007 11:16 am |
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