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Gold Bubble Popped?

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eastmn
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Gold Bubble Popped?  Reply with quote  

(paste from elsewhere)

Gold is down almost $100 today
GLD is down 7.5% over the past two days

A recent Financial Times article mentioned gold was
down 40% in 2 days in 1981 and just looking at the
chart it was off 2/3 in 3 months.

No, you can't get out "in time."



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Post Wed Aug 24, 2011 8:57 pm
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coaster
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If it goes down 40% from here (or a little more) I think that I might get interested again.

It's odd though .... the USDX did a whole lot of nothing today.

~Tim~

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Post Wed Aug 24, 2011 9:16 pm
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eastmn
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Hi C,

Well, I did a lot of browsing today; posted a few highlights.

Any feedback on this 3.25% CD (with put option)?
http://moneywatch.bnet.com/investing/blog/irrational-investor/best-cd-offers-high-rates-and-little-risk/3962/

Is GLD tied to the Earthquake or Gadaffi? Wink
Gadaffi had reportedly proposed a new Gold Currency (threat removed)...

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Post Wed Aug 24, 2011 11:23 pm
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coaster
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Gadaffi is irrelevant; always has been. Laughing

Gold started going up (and down) some time ago; it had been stagnant for a couple decades, so maybe it's still playing catch-up. Getting very close to bubble-status, though, IMO.

That CD sounds very interesting. I'm already planning on pulling some of my liquid money out of a money-market account. That might be one option for it. I'm going to take a look at what my credit union account has been yielding. I know it's been doing better than the MMF, but I don't think it'll beat that CD. Can't remember what the last dividend was right off the top, though.

I still think the best place to get yield is a dividend-paying stock. A blue-chip company like KMB is over four percent. I'm getting over eight percent on SCCO. (But that one varies a lot depending on their profits) Naturally, that option is only if you don't need the principal in the near future.

~Tim~

Eye Candy : Why Whimsy
Post Thu Aug 25, 2011 6:14 am
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LottomagicZ4941
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Who was it that said gold is in a 2000 year old bubble.

Think I heard it on NPR. Listen to them but wouldn't give them any $$$$. There are better orgs to support.

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Post Thu Aug 25, 2011 9:52 am
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Damon Day
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I was born in 1977. Looking at this chart I am wishing that my grandparents would have bought gold for me instead of savings bonds Smile

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Post Thu Aug 25, 2011 10:26 am
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eastmn
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Thanks for the feedback and pointers.

I agree that gold has been more of a hard currency
(backup currency) in this economic stress.

I've seen a lot of people wanting to get out at $2k, and
this might have tipped the jar for them.

RT Video on Gadaffi Gold Currency threat:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IWersI4QKh0

WSJ Says this:
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/gold-declines-over-uncertainty-over-fed-2011-08-25

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Post Thu Aug 25, 2011 1:19 pm
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eastmn
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PS: GNMAs (6%, 5 Star) are also popular with Vanguardians.
https://personal.vanguard.com/us/funds/snapshot?FundId=0036&FundIntExt=INT

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Post Thu Aug 25, 2011 6:23 pm
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eastmn
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PS:
Zero Risk 7% IRA here, but they're changing to floating rate next year.
Choice of Roth or Traditional. No fees or equities involved.
https://www.lacapfcu.org/accounts/iras/bonus_ira.html

Their Share (CDs) are 2.5% yield for 5 year CDs (super saver CDs).
Withdrawal penalty is 3 months interest.

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Post Fri Aug 26, 2011 5:33 pm
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coaster
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I'm in the process of moving all my investment records (at least the ones on positions open end-of-year 2010) to a MySQL database, because they were in Windows Exel 2007 spreadsheets on my Windows XP box, I moved to iMac, and I don't like either of the Mac OS X spreadsheets (MS Office 2011/Exel and OpenOffice/OpenDoc -- the MS product is especially crappy) --- anyhow, that's just to explain why I'm going through and tallying all my dividend payments for about the last six years, and I gotta tell ya, it never fails to impress me what a pot of gold a dividend-paying blue-chip stock is. Who needs gold? Who needs bonds? You want income? Buy a blue-chip stock and forget it. The payout just keeps growing and growing and growing, and it just keeps paying year after year after year. THAT'S where the real gold mine is.

~Tim~

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Post Sat Aug 27, 2011 5:19 am
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eastmn
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Coaster,

Many many thanks for your feedback and tips. Weather you realize it or not, this site is a true goldmine for many (a blessing). I'm wondering, have you ever considered adding an investor tutorial to the left main menu, like this one? http://www.bogleheads.org/wiki/Getting_Started

What program are you using to work locally with mysql; or, are you working online? I've always used sitepoint's forums for help with any programming hangups (html-css-php-mysql). Mostly retirees who do it just to keep their minds sharp Wink

I ran across this tool yesterday, cool...
http://stockcharts.com/freecharts/perf.html?$SPX,XLF,XLK,XLI,XLB,XLE,XLP,XLV,XLU,XLY

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Post Sun Aug 28, 2011 5:23 pm
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coaster
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Well, that would be up to admin, but my own opinion is there are other sites that do a much better job at tutoring than we could do here. This is an opinion site, and I hope everybody understands that.

MySQL - mostly I'm using phpMyAdmin. I also use Navicat Lite; it's a little easier to use. But to get the same functionality as phpMyAdmin I'd have to buy the full-feature premium version. After the databases are all set up, I'll write a series of php scripts to do what the VBA macros did in Exel.

~Tim~

Eye Candy : Why Whimsy
Post Sun Aug 28, 2011 6:08 pm
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eastmn
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Just crossed my mind that you might want to view your spreadsheets in google docs or yahoo docs. It does handle html/css, and it may handle php and dbase. I'm always kidding that when I'm dead (afterlife), that I'll be able to grab my data from the cloud Wink

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Last edited by eastmn on Mon Aug 29, 2011 3:58 am; edited 1 time in total
Post Sun Aug 28, 2011 7:00 pm
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coaster
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quote:
Originally posted by eastmn
I'm always kidding that when I'm dead, that I'll be able to grab my data from the cloud Wink

That's a hoot Laughing

Well, it's more fun coding it from scratch. Wink

~Tim~

Eye Candy : Why Whimsy
Post Mon Aug 29, 2011 1:34 am
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eastmn
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I've got a friend in Jersey, retired AT&T Programmer, if you get stuck Wink

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Post Mon Aug 29, 2011 2:07 am
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