martyfoley
Senior Member
Cash: $ 66.02
Posts: 404
Joined: 18 Mar 2005
Location: Northeast USA
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| TSP Allocations |
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Staying the same today, 25C, 25S, 50I. Crude is down .73, stuck in trading range. Dollar is still forming a short term top (hopefully). EFA up .26 which should bode well for the I-fund today. Us markets experiencing minor profit taking ahead of the weekend so far. Next week we'll need some serious follow thru to the upside in the US markets to keep momentum going. Will be a critical week. Arrows still pointing up for the C S and I funds for now. Sarah thanks for the information regarding $.
Top Dog for March and May 06!
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Fri Apr 08, 2005 3:42 pm |
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Wheels
Preferred Member
Cash: $ 21.52
Posts: 106
Joined: 17 Mar 2005
Location: Nashua NH
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Hope it stays that way since I am 50 c and 50 I. Thought about moving out of I this morning as the dollar index was well up over 85 but resistance appears to be holding as it has now slipped down below 84.80. Dollar trading seems volatile to me the last few days but then again I am a newbie at watching it so maybe not.
Dave
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Fri Apr 08, 2005 4:02 pm |
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Wheels
Preferred Member
Cash: $ 21.52
Posts: 106
Joined: 17 Mar 2005
Location: Nashua NH
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I don't "day" trade my account. I was in the G fund for the better part of a month before I changed to where I am now. However 2000-2002 taught me a lesson about just leaving my balance in one place indefinately.
Dave
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Fri Apr 08, 2005 4:25 pm |
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SkyPilot
Senior Member
Cash: $ 100.11
Posts: 492
Joined: 13 Mar 2005
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Ah, to trade, or not to trade... I think we are trending downward across the board, so I am heavey G for a while, and still feeling that the little bit I have in the market is maybe too much. I think interest rates and oil prices will dominate through the fall, and I think both are going up a bit. Even though this may be priced in now, I still think the sticker shock at the bank and the pump will keep the bears out of the woods and in the back yards through the summer. I really hate missing up days like yesterday, but don't mind missing the slides like today. I think the I fund still has the most promise, but the volatility has me sidelined for now. Again, capital preservation is my concern at this point. Have a great weekend.
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Fri Apr 08, 2005 7:21 pm |
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martyfoley
Senior Member
Cash: $ 66.02
Posts: 404
Joined: 18 Mar 2005
Location: Northeast USA
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| Profit taking - Typical Friday |
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Dismal day for the US markets. Typical Friday when investors take some profits off the table in front of the weekend. Today though I regard as just noise. Next week is critical. We will need some help from crude oil and the $. Hopefully they will be both down next week. It appears that they are both overbought short term and could go down next week. The I fund is having a pretty good day so far making up for some losses in the US markets. Trends still looking up at least for now.
Top Dog for March and May 06!
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Fri Apr 08, 2005 7:36 pm |
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ckb21401
Contributing Member
Cash: $ 5.44
Posts: 27
Joined: 02 Apr 2005
Location: Maryland
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| investment dates question |
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Does anyone know the rule the TSP uses to decide when to buy shares with the paycheck allocations? I get paid on Fridays (biweekly) and usually the TSP buys shares Thursday evening before my Friday payday but sometimes it doesn't happen until Friday evening, Monday evening, or even Tuesday evening (March 29, 2005 latest example). 
Craig
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Sat Apr 09, 2005 10:48 am |
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ckb21401
Contributing Member
Cash: $ 5.44
Posts: 27
Joined: 02 Apr 2005
Location: Maryland
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| Re: investment dates |
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Sarah
My bank shows the deposit going in on Thur night (sometimes even Wed night if Friday is a holiday). The TSP seems to be more affected by market closings. On Friday, March 25, the stock market was closed, but it was not a federal holiday. My paycheck was direct deposited on Thur night (Mar 24) as usual. My TSP purchase was not made on Mar 24 as is normal, of course not on Fri Mar 25, but not even on Mon Mar 28.
Maybe someone who did an IFT before noon on Mar 24 or Mar 28 can let me know if it was done at COB on the day it was put in.
Purchase dates also seem to be affected by Monday holidays.
Thanks,
Craig
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Sat Apr 09, 2005 6:19 pm |
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Rolo
Yo' Daddy
Cash: $ 309.70
Posts: 1551
Joined: 13 Mar 2005
Location: Colorado/Florida
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| Re: Real Estate Sector TSP Fund? |
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quote:
Originally posted by sarah
Do you think this is a good idea? Why not allow several sector funds? How about starting some leveraged funds? How about having some short funds? Hmmmm?
Boy, you women just want EVERYthing... 
Adding some sectors would be nice and not unreasonable. As for the other exotic stuff...it's a retirement plan, not a brokerage house.
"Expect me when you see me."
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Sun Apr 10, 2005 1:34 am |
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Rolo
Yo' Daddy
Cash: $ 309.70
Posts: 1551
Joined: 13 Mar 2005
Location: Colorado/Florida
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I: moderate gains
C: continuing to rise to prior high
S: right w/C, probably just below
F: the slow but painful slaughter continues
Still holding my alloc (70I/30C); thinking of moving some I to C if profitable.
"Expect me when you see me."
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Mon Apr 11, 2005 1:59 am |
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martyfoley
Senior Member
Cash: $ 66.02
Posts: 404
Joined: 18 Mar 2005
Location: Northeast USA
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| Low Volume Not Good |
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Everything I'm reading is mentioning the lack of conviction showing up in the low volume numbers regarding our US markets. This is a bad sign which is showing that long term investors are not stepping up to the plate. If this doesn't change soon we could have a problem Houston. Short term buyers can't hold up the market very long. Let's hope lower crude prices and a lower $ can attract more long term buyers this week.
Top Dog for March and May 06!
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Mon Apr 11, 2005 1:01 pm |
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martyfoley
Senior Member
Cash: $ 66.02
Posts: 404
Joined: 18 Mar 2005
Location: Northeast USA
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| Conservative (nearing retirement) allocations |
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S- fund is underperforming both the C and I therefore I'm going with 25%C, 50%I today for tomorrow. Keeping 25% in the G in case the I fund corrects a little. On a day when crude is down why are th US markets in a funk? They should be up big-time. I guess investors feel crude will go bacl up soon so why invest now? The dollar hasn't exactly fallen apart either. The I fund is having a good day however as the dollar is down some today. The I fund has the better chart and is outperforming but you can't rule out the C-fund for a possible rally soon. We need some conviction from long term buyers to show up for the C-fund, so far don't see it. Good Luck!
Top Dog for March and May 06!
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Mon Apr 11, 2005 3:44 pm |
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greg
Senior Member
Cash: $ 127.49
Posts: 609
Joined: 23 Mar 2005
Location: One Monkey Don't Stop No Show
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| Where's I fund going |
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Sarah,
Are you still 100% percent in I-fund?
I decided to move my last 10%-I out on Friday COB 
How far down do you think the dollar will go?
Thanks
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Tue Apr 12, 2005 2:50 am |
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Rolo
Yo' Daddy
Cash: $ 309.70
Posts: 1551
Joined: 13 Mar 2005
Location: Colorado/Florida
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quote:
Originally posted by Rolo
F: the slow but painful slaughter continues
Scratch that, I think the chart looks pretty good for F. I may ditch a little there if C starts to collapse or $ rallies.
"Expect me when you see me."
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Tue Apr 12, 2005 3:26 am |
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SkyPilot
Senior Member
Cash: $ 100.11
Posts: 492
Joined: 13 Mar 2005
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Moved to stocks for tomorrow, hoping for some recovery from todays lows, then will probably retreat back to my previous allocation for Thursday.
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Tue Apr 12, 2005 2:52 pm |
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martyfoley
Senior Member
Cash: $ 66.02
Posts: 404
Joined: 18 Mar 2005
Location: Northeast USA
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| Dollar Rally Today!? |
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Increasing C and I 5% each today on weakness. Dollar up today on a terrible trade gap number released today, go figure. I guess the market was expecting even a worse number which didn't materialize so they bought dollars on the good news that it wasn't so bad after all. Dollar still in major downtrend but being helped a little with the prospect of higher interest rates in the future. It's still stuck in a trading range 85.5 - 83.5 and until that is resolved the I fund will probably just move sideways. Everyone feels the dollar should go down, but as you can see today it's up on a record trade gap number. On days like these it makes you wonder if the dollar will continue up. Time will tell. Good Luck!
Top Dog for March and May 06!
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Tue Apr 12, 2005 3:46 pm |
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